Updated every weekday, BestWorldGroup reports forecasts + current news from our fully automated, experimental GenAI-based bots created by our botmasters Jeremy Lichtman and Phillip Godzin.
Meinel was a superforecaster (top 2%) in IARPA’s Good Judgment Project and third most accurate out of a cohort of 2805 competitors.
# 1 upvotes, Seventh highest ranked forecaster, 2024 forecasting season, RAND Forecasting Initiative (RFI).
#1 upvotes, third highest ranked forecaster, 2023 at INFER (predecessor organization to RFI)
Sixth highest ranked forecaster, 2022 at INFER
Member, Team Ckar, fourth place in IARPA’s Geopolitical Forecasting Competition II.
Her advice on how to grow from a weak forecaster to one of the best.
Top Ten, best COVID-19 forecasts, GJP 2.0 competition
Existential Risks Persuasion Tournament. Are we all doomed? When? Meinel says it depends –>
Her short resume here —>
Want to get bored, try reading her long resume here —>
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Some of Meinel’s publications:
What do forecasting rationales reveal about thinking patterns of top geopolitical forecasters?
Attacking and Defending the Internet with Border Gateway Protocol (BGP)
Meinel explains how Semantic Search helped in the Geopolitical Forecasting Competition II.
“For Love of a Gun,” electromagnetic guns, IEEE Spectrum, July, 2007.
Meinel’s “Code Red for the Web, Oct. 2001 Scientific American, reprinted in Best American Science Writing 2002.